Benfica II 1-2 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.03
2-3
39%
1.71
4-5
23%
3.41
6+
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.03 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Benfica II The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense The Market 29%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.54 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.72
1.08 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.54
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 14.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Portimonense
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.31 xG 0.44
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
346 Passes 234
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Benfica II Benfica II 0-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
23.11.2024 Portimonense Portimonense 0-2 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
04.11.2015 Benfica II Benfica II 3-2 HT 2-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
18.03.2015 Benfica II Benfica II 4-1 HT 3-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
26.10.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 2-2 HT 1-2 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
18.01.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 0-2 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
1-2
AWAY Portimonense
3.24 xG 0.98
68% Ball Possession 32%
33 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 0
317 Passes 130
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
44 Crosses 2
3 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Benfica II vs Portimonense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Portimonense found just enough to beat Benfica II 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Benfica II at 53% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.76, about 57%.

The match data tells the story: Benfica II had 68% of the ball to Portimonense's 32%, shots finished 33-9, expected goals 3.24 to 0.98 — by the quality of chances, Benfica II deserved more.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Benfica II and 0.83 for Portimonense.

Benfica II vs Portimonense Result & Final Score

Benfica II 1-2 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Benfica II vs Portimonense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 53%, draw 25%, Portimonense 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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