Rostov 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
22%
4.68
X/2
7%
6.48
X/X
13%
3.88
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
13%
5.19
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -23%
1.67/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.27
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.7 Crosses 14.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 0.99
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
283 Passes 227
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
26.10.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
09.12.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
22.10.2023 Rostov Rostov 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
28.05.2023 Rostov Rostov 3-2 HT 2-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
27.11.2022 Rostov Rostov 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
1-1
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.50 xG 0.68
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
343 Passes 141
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov and FC Akhmat Grozny couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Rostov had 66% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 34%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.50 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rostov and 1.17 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Rostov vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Rostov 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rostov 47%, draw 27%, FC Akhmat Grozny 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rostov), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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