Ilirija 0-1 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
55%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
27%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
55%
Away Win
49%
+6.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 54%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.22/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.55
+20% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +70%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Triglav
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 2-2 HT 1-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
29.03.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 1-2 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
15.09.2023 Triglav Triglav 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
10.03.2023 Triglav Triglav 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
28.08.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 5-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
21.05.2022 Triglav Triglav 1-1 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilirija
0-1
AWAY Triglav
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav nicked a narrow win over Ilirija 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ilirija had 42% of the ball to Triglav's 58%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilirija had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ilirija and 0.83 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Triglav?

Ilirija 0-1 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 21%, draw 24%, Triglav 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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