Ümraniyespor 0-2 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.78
Over
46%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.07
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
19%
3.82
6+
8%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.87
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
9%
6.58
X/2
13%
4.82
X/X
8%
4.46
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.02
2/X
9%
13.1
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Ümraniyespor The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor The Market 48%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better
Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better
Average Attackvs comparable teams
Strong Defensevs comparable teams
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.7 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.33 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
360 Passes 450
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.04.2025 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
09.12.2024 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
0-2
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
0.57 xG 1.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
368 Passes 267
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Ümraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Esenler Erokspor got the better of Ümraniyespor 2-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Esenler Erokspor made the difference.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 54%. At 1.92 (~52%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

On the day, possession split 57% to 43% in Ümraniyespor's favour, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.57 to 1.55.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Ümraniyespor against 0.50 for Esenler Erokspor.

Ümraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor Result & Final Score

Ümraniyespor 0-2 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ümraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 35%, draw 26%, Esenler Erokspor 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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