Östers 5-2 Utsiktens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 30 Sep 2024

Östers
5-2 HT 2-0
Utsiktens BK
📅30/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Östers vs Utsiktens BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 28% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.6
X/1
15%
3.6
X/2
11%
14.9
X/X
12%
6.78
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
9%
11.5
2/X
9%
19.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
67%
-18.8pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.1pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+11.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östers v Utsiktens BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +28%
1.86/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.11
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +66%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Östers vs Utsiktens BK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Utsiktens BK
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.05.2024 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-1 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
24.10.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 2-1 HT 2-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
04.06.2023 Östers Östers 0-1 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
04.08.2022 Östers Östers 3-1 HT 2-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
10.07.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-1 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östers vs Utsiktens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers swept aside Utsiktens BK 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Östers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Utsiktens BK led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Östers and 1.20 for Utsiktens BK.

What was the final score of Östers vs Utsiktens BK?

Östers 5-2 Utsiktens BK in the Sweden - Superettan on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Utsiktens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Östers 48%, draw 27%, Utsiktens BK 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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