Östersunds FK 0-2 IK Oddevold — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.78
X/2
12%
6.5
X/X
13%
4.27
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.81
2/X
4%
13.45
Value flag · 1/X at 13.1 — our 11% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.40/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/2.32
-9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY IK Oddevold
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.05.2024 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold 1-2 HT 1-2 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs IK Oddevold
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Oddevold saw off Östersunds FK 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Östersunds FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs IK Oddevold?

Östersunds FK 0-2 IK Oddevold in the Sweden - Superettan on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs IK Oddevold?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 42%, draw 28%, IK Oddevold 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Östersunds FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
30 Sep 2024
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