San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+1.8pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.34/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.51
-1% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
11.05.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
23.05.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman edged past Tristan Suarez 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Martin Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.00 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez?

San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 51%, draw 26%, Tristan Suarez 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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