Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.33
Over 2.5
37%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.95
No
52%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.6pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
72%
-8.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
28%
+8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
30%
+18.6pp
52%
BTTS No
70%
-18.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +12%
1.13/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.42
-17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Almagro
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
13.05.2024 Almagro Almagro 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
02.07.2023 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
25.02.2023 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
21.08.2022 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto nicked a narrow win over Almagro 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Estudiantes Rio Cuarto as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and 0.25 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Almagro?

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 42%, draw 34%, Almagro 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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