Ferro Carril Oeste 2-2 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒23:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.42/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.25
+11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
12.05.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 2-1 HT 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
06.08.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
03.04.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
22.02.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste and Deportivo Maipu couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ferro Carril Oeste at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 1.25 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Maipu?

Ferro Carril Oeste 2-2 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 51%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maipu 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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