Guingamp vs Caen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guingamp v Caen — Team-Based Signals
Guingamp vs Caen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Guingamp
FR2
1-2
HT 0-2
Caen
FR2
4-1
HT 2-1
Guingamp
FR2
2-1
HT 0-1
Caen
FR2
Guingamp 3-1 Caen — Actual Match Statistics
Guingamp saw off Caen 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Guingamp had 47% of the ball to Caen's 53%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.34 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Guingamp and 1.33 for Caen.
What was the final score of Guingamp vs Caen?
Guingamp 3-1 Caen in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Caen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 44%, draw 26%, Caen 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.