Caen 1-6 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

Caen
1-6 HT 0-4
Guingamp
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Caen vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caen v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.27/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
-12% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Caen vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Guingamp
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
341 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 1-0 HT 1-0 Caen Caen FR2
30.09.2023 Caen Caen 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
25.02.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 1-2 HT 0-2 Caen Caen FR2
20.08.2022 Caen Caen 4-1 HT 2-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
30.04.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 2-1 HT 0-1 Caen Caen FR2
11.12.2021 Caen Caen 2-0 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
POST-MATCH Caen vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp cruised past Caen 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caen and 1.00 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Caen vs Guingamp?

Caen 1-6 Guingamp in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Caen 29%, draw 27%, Guingamp 44%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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