HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Slaven Belupo — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
2-2
HT 1-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
0-0
HT 0-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
1-1
HT 0-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
HNK Gorica 2-1 Slaven Belupo — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica edged past Slaven Belupo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had HNK Gorica as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 53% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 47%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 2.01 to 1.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.17 for Slaven Belupo.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo?
HNK Gorica 2-1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo?
Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 41%, draw 27%, Slaven Belupo 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Gorica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.