Juticalpa 0-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.2pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 46%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.81
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Olancho
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.07.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho squeezed past Juticalpa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olancho as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs Olancho?

Juticalpa 0-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 31%, draw 26%, Olancho 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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