CD Olimpia 4-0 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.25
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
76%
-8.2pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.6pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.3pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.41/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.12/2.12
+12% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
471 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Genesis PN
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
28.07.2024 Genesis PN 0-3 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
11.03.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-0 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
22.01.2024 Genesis PN 2-2 HT 2-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
11.12.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
08.12.2023 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
26.11.2023 Genesis PN 1-2 HT 0-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia swept aside Genesis PN 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.50 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Genesis PN?

CD Olimpia 4-0 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 68%, draw 17%, Genesis PN 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
30 Sep 2024
00:00 CD Victoria vs Marathon Analysis →
04:30 Juticalpa vs Olancho Analysis →