Genesis PN 0-3 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
50%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
50%
Away Win
56%
-6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 60%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
0.26/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.92
-76% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +10%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
268 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
0W-1D-5L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
11.03.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-0 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
22.01.2024 Genesis PN 2-2 HT 2-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
11.12.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
08.12.2023 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
26.11.2023 Genesis PN 1-2 HT 0-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
22.09.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia ran out comfortable winners over Genesis PN 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Genesis PN and 2.50 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs CD Olimpia?

Genesis PN 0-3 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 27%, draw 23%, CD Olimpia 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
28 Jul 2024
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