Marathon 2-2 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -25%
2.02/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.01
+2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
26.04.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
01.03.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
23.10.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
28.08.2023 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
02.04.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
06.02.2023 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon and CD Victoria couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Marathon carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marathon and 0.33 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Victoria?

Marathon 2-2 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Marathon 56%, draw 24%, CD Victoria 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
28 Jul 2024
04:00 Genesis PN vs CD Olimpia Analysis →