CD Victoria 3-0 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.53/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.08
+18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Marathon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
2 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
28.07.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-2 HT 0-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.04.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
01.03.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
23.10.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
28.08.2023 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
02.04.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria swept aside Marathon 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day CD Victoria made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CD Victoria and 1.17 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Marathon?

CD Victoria 3-0 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 35%, draw 31%, Marathon 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Victoria), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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