Crystal Palace U21 2-1 Nottingham Forest U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.74
Over 2.5
48%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.38
No
49%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
33%
+18.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
67%
-18.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.1pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace U21
2-1
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 11
335 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace U21 squeezed past Nottingham Forest U21 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Crystal Palace U21 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Crystal Palace U21 had 48% of the ball to Nottingham Forest U21's 52%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Crystal Palace U21 2-1 Nottingham Forest U21 in the INGPL2 on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace U21 39%, draw 29%, Nottingham Forest U21 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace U21), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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