Kocaelispor 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.91
Over
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.39
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
24%
3.5
6+
12%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.5
X/1
19%
3.42
X/2
6%
14.3
X/X
10%
5.86
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
8%
12.2
2/X
5%
20.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Kocaelispor win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 17%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.44/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.65
-24% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
21.5 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.54 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
374 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
24.09.2023 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
16.01.2011 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
0-0
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.43 xG 0.14
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
490 Passes 197
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor and Şanlıurfaspor fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kocaelispor at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 67% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 33%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.43 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kocaelispor and 0.67 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Kocaelispor 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 57%, draw 22%, Şanlıurfaspor 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kocaelispor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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