Oakland Roots 0-1 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 33% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.9pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 29%
-22% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.33/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.47
-30% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.3 Crosses 14.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
1W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.71 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
318 Passes 358
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 4
25.05.2024 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-1 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
17.09.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
0-1
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.72 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
295 Passes 204
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa edged past Oakland Roots 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; FC Tulsa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 57% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 43%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.72 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Oakland Roots and 0.50 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs FC Tulsa?

Oakland Roots 0-1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 40%, draw 32%, FC Tulsa 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Oakland Roots) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oakland Roots) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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