Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sacramento Republic v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sacramento Republic 4-0 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic overpowered New Mexico United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Sacramento Republic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Sacramento Republic had 44% of the ball to New Mexico United's 56%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 3.75 to 0.63.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.17 for New Mexico United.
Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United Result & Final Score
Sacramento Republic 4 - 0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 49%, draw 27%, New Mexico United 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.