Cong An Nhan Dan 1-0 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
2.74/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.28
+89% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Binh Duong
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2024 Binh Duong Binh Duong 4-1 HT 1-0 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
26.12.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 3-0 HT 1-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
12.04.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-2 HT 0-2 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan
1-0
AWAY Binh Duong
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cong An Nhan Dan vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cong An Nhan Dan squeezed past Binh Duong 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cong An Nhan Dan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cong An Nhan Dan had 56% of the ball to Binh Duong's 44%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cong An Nhan Dan had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cong An Nhan Dan and 1.67 for Binh Duong.

What was the final score of Cong An Nhan Dan vs Binh Duong?

Cong An Nhan Dan 1-0 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cong An Nhan Dan vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cong An Nhan Dan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cong An Nhan Dan 49%, draw 25%, Binh Duong 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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