Thanh Hoa 3-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.15/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.26
-13% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
29.04.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 1-1 HT 1-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİETK
05.04.2024 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-0 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
23.02.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 3-2 HT 2-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
22.07.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 0-3 HT 0-2 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
02.07.2023 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-1 HT 0-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
14.10.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-1 HT 0-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Xi Mang Hai Phong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thanh Hoa saw off Xi Mang Hai Phong 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Thanh Hoa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xi Mang Hai Phong led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Thanh Hoa and 1.17 for Xi Mang Hai Phong.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Thanh Hoa 3-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Xi Mang Hai Phong win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 36%, draw 27%, Xi Mang Hai Phong 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Xi Mang Hai Phong) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xi Mang Hai Phong) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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