Alemannia Aachen 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 30 Sep 2025

Alemannia Aachen
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
📅30/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.83
2-3
47%
1.86
4-5
25%
3.25
6+
6%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.78
1/2
2%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.85
X/2
11%
7.11
X/X
15%
5.14
2/1
3%
23.0
2/2
16%
5.0
2/X
5%
13.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Alemannia Aachen v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Alemannia Aachen The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue The Market 32%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.65 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.41
1.33 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.77
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2

Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
220 Passes 397
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.02.2025 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 HT 0-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
31.08.2024 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-2 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
11.12.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-1 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
16.07.2011 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
17.04.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-5 HT 1-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
21.11.2010 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2

Alemannia Aachen 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
0 - 1
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
388 Passes 315
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Erzgebirge Aue came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Alemannia Aachen 1-0 on the road.

Our pre-match lean was Alemannia Aachen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 53% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 47%, shots finished 14-11.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 2.00 for Erzgebirge Aue.

Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue Result & Final Score

Alemannia Aachen 0 - 1 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 46%, draw 25%, Erzgebirge Aue 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
30 Sep 2025
00:00 Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg Analysis →
20:00 Havelse vs Waldhof Mannheim Analysis →
20:00 Hansa Rostock vs Energie Cottbus Analysis →
20:00 Stuttgart II vs Wehen Wiesbaden Analysis →