Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
57%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
14%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 62%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
0.74/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.49
-22% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +91%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
231 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
05.10.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
12.11.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
22.07.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-3 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
29.04.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0-1
AWAY Levski Sofia
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia edged past Botev Plovdiv 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 35% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 65%, shots finished 4-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.20 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 20%, draw 24%, Levski Sofia 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5
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