Levski Sofia 1-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.05/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.87
+20% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
12.11.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
22.07.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-3 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
29.04.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
1-1
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia and Botev Plovdiv shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Levski Sofia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 63% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 37%, shots finished 17-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.75 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Levski Sofia 1-1 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 48%, draw 26%, Botev Plovdiv 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Levski Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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