Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.5pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.8pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-19.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 70%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
0.54/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.55
-38% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +55%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
222 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
22.05.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
30.03.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
06.12.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 4-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BULK
27.09.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
15.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-0
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv nicked a narrow win over Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ludogorets Razgrad at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 45% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 55%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 2.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 24%, draw 29%, Ludogorets Razgrad 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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