Sanat Naft 1-1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.05
Draw
44%
3.11
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
1.33
Over 2.5
23%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.75
No
70%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
54%
1.67
2-3 Goals
29%
1.88
4-5 Goals
8%
8.18
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.67 — our 54% vs market 49.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
26%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
45%
-11.6pp
44%
Draw
28%
+15.4pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.9pp
77%
Under 2.5
72%
+5.7pp
23%
Over 2.5
28%
-5.7pp
30%
BTTS Yes
32%
-1.9pp
70%
BTTS No
68%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenavarsazi Qeshm EU Bookmakers 31%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+60% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sanat Naft vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanat Naft and Shenavarsazi Qeshm shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 44%, and the draw held. On goals, under 2.5 goals (77%) landed while no to both teams scoring (70%) missed.

What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm?

Sanat Naft 1-1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm in the Iran - Azadegan League on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 33%, draw 44%, Shenavarsazi Qeshm 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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