Columbus Crew 0-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
7.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.21
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
19%
4.28
X/2
9%
9.05
X/X
12%
5.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.8
2/2
10%
6.22
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.64/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.49
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.1 Crosses 14.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
4W-1D-1L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.51 xG 1.03
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
466 Passes 233
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-3 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
17.03.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
02.07.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
19.03.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
02.10.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
20.03.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
0-1
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.07 xG 0.95
78% Ball Possession 22%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
707 Passes 146
90% Pass Accuracy 65%
27 Box Touches 20
33 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls edged past Columbus Crew 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Columbus Crew at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 78% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 22%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.07 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.17 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?

Columbus Crew 0-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 47%, draw 27%, New York Red Bulls 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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