Salzburg 3-1 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.18
Over
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.06
2-3
39%
1.83
4-5
26%
2.86
6+
13%
8.49
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.06 — our 22% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Salzburg win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
396 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.69 xG 0.53
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
425 Passes 184
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
27 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
15.02.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
30.10.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVK
22.09.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
04.11.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
06.08.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg saw off Swarovski Tirol 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Salzburg and 0.33 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol?

Salzburg 3-1 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 59%, draw 20%, Swarovski Tirol 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →