Malkiya 1-1 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
15%
3.97
6+ Goals
7%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 35% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malkiya EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
0.54/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.12
-54% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malkiya
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2025 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 4-3 HT 3-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
14.02.2025 Malkiya Malkiya 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
03.04.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
10.12.2020 Malkiya Malkiya 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
21.11.2020 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-4 HT 0-2 Malkiya Malkiya BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malkiya
1-1
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Malkiya vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malkiya and Al Ahli Manama shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Malkiya had 40% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 60%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Malkiya and 1.40 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Malkiya vs Al Ahli Manama?

Malkiya 1-1 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malkiya vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malkiya win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Malkiya 37%, draw 29%, Al Ahli Manama 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malkiya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malkiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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30 Oct 2025
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