Arka Gdynia 1-2 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
55%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.53 — our 24% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
55%
Away Win
49%
+5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 54%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
0.69/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.51
-47% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +143%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
247 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
407 Passes 297
14.07.2020 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-2 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
14.02.2020 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
30.08.2019 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
22.04.2019 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
15.12.2018 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 1-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
11.08.2018 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
1-2
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze nicked a narrow win over Arka Gdynia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gornik Zabrze as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 49% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 51%, shots finished 6-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.17 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?

Arka Gdynia 1-2 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Cup on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 24%, draw 21%, Gornik Zabrze 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Zabrze), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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