Legia Varşova 1-2 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.47/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+11% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
360 Passes 285
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
02.05.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-4 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
28.03.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
20.09.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
02.03.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
27.09.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-4 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
1-2
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin nicked a narrow win over Legia Varşova 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 56% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 44%, shots finished 22-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.33 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Pogon Szczecin?

Legia Varşova 1-2 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Cup on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 53%, draw 22%, Pogon Szczecin 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Legia Varşova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5
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