Legia Varşova 0-0 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.81
6+ Goals
14%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.44
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
18%
4.78
X/2
11%
8.46
X/X
14%
5.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.3
2/2
12%
5.89
2/X
5%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.61/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.60
+5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
22.8 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.48 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
349 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
02.03.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
27.09.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-4 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
07.05.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-1 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
22.10.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
24.04.2022 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-1 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
0-0
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.28 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
377 Passes 260
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova and Pogon Szczecin fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 57% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 43%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.28 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.83 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Pogon Szczecin?

Legia Varşova 0-0 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 43%, draw 27%, Pogon Szczecin 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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