Piast Gliwice 0-2 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.58
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.68
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
18%
4.28
X/2
13%
7.96
X/X
9%
4.09
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
9%
6.87
2/X
8%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.42/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.52
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.7 Crosses 18.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.54 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
384 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
07.04.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.09.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-2 HT 2-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
23.04.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-3 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
10.10.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
28.05.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
0-2
AWAY Widzew Lodz
0.98 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
389 Passes 362
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz saw off Piast Gliwice 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Piast Gliwice at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 53% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 47%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.98 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.67 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz?

Piast Gliwice 0-2 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 49%, draw 23%, Widzew Lodz 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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