Widzew Lodz 1-0 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.07
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
19%
5.71
X/2
13%
5.26
X/X
17%
4.2
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
14%
3.62
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.48/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.34
+12% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
26.2 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.02 xG 1.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
350 Passes 384
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.09.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-2 HT 2-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
23.04.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-3 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
10.10.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
28.05.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
22.02.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-0
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.76 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
371 Passes 385
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz squeezed past Piast Gliwice 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Widzew Lodz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 48% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 52%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.76 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.50 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice?

Widzew Lodz 1-0 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 38%, draw 28%, Piast Gliwice 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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