Gornik Zabrze 3-0 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 21 Sep 2024

Gornik Zabrze
3-0 HT 1-0
Katowice
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Gornik Zabrze vs Katowice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 32% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.46
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
16%
5.32
X/2
12%
5.98
X/X
14%
4.46
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.07
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gornik Zabrze v Katowice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.55/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.22
+12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.2 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards –

Gornik Zabrze vs Katowice Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Katowice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.09.2023 Katowice Katowice 0-4 HT 0-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POLK
20.10.2022 Katowice Katowice 1-2 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POLK
16.11.2018 Katowice Katowice 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze HAZ
05.07.2018 Katowice Katowice 3-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze HAZ
27.06.2015 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-1 HT 1-1 Katowice Katowice HAZ

Gornik Zabrze 3-0 Katowice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
3-0
AWAY Katowice
3.30 xG 0.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
26 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
430 Passes 417
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 11
6 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze swept aside Katowice 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Gornik Zabrze made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 51% of the ball to Katowice's 49%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 3.30 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.00 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Katowice?

Gornik Zabrze 3-0 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 40%, draw 28%, Katowice 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Zabrze), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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