Legia Varşova vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Legia Varşova v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Legia Varşova vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 1-1
Legia Varşova
POL
2-1
HT 1-0
Legia Varşova
POL
Legia Varşova 1-0 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Legia Varşova edged past Pogon Szczecin 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Legia Varşova had 55% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 45%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.87 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Legia Varşova's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.67 for Pogon Szczecin.
What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Pogon Szczecin?
Legia Varşova 1-0 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Pogon Szczecin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 61%, draw 19%, Pogon Szczecin 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.