Widzew Lodz 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
6%
5.74
X/2
9%
5.63
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
22%
3.75
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -23%
1.39/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.21
+3% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
24.3 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.65 xG 2.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
296 Passes 387
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 38
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
30.11.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-3 HT 1-2 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
27.04.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
29.10.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.04.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
02.10.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
0-1
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.57 xG 1.23
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
281 Passes 493
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 32
5 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa edged past Widzew Lodz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Rakow Czestochowa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 38% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 62%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.57 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.50 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Widzew Lodz 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 36%, draw 23%, Rakow Czestochowa 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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