Miedz Legnica 2-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
10%
6.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.4pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
56%
Away Win
61%
-5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
260 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.96 xG 1.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
204 Passes 394
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-1 HT 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
19.08.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 0-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
09.04.2019 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POLK
08.02.2019 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-3 HT 0-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
26.08.2018 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-3 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
23.01.2015 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 1-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
2-3
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok edged past Miedz Legnica 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 34% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 66%, shots finished 10-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Miedz Legnica and 2.00 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Miedz Legnica 2-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Cup on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 24%, draw 19%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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