Fakel vs Arsenal Tula Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fakel v Arsenal Tula — Team-Based Signals
Fakel vs Arsenal Tula Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Arsenal Tula
RUK
Fakel 2-3 Arsenal Tula — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal Tula nicked a narrow win over Fakel 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Arsenal Tula made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fakel had 60% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 40%, shots finished 11-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fakel and 1.00 for Arsenal Tula.
What was the final score of Fakel vs Arsenal Tula?
Fakel 2-3 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - Cup Regional League on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fakel vs Arsenal Tula?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fakel 40%, draw 29%, Arsenal Tula 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.