FK Ufa 1-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup Regional League, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Neftekhimik
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 FK Ufa FK Ufa 3-2 HT 2-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
04.05.2025 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
21.07.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
06.11.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Ufa
1-1
AWAY Neftekhimik
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa and Neftekhimik shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, FK Ufa had 49% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 51%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FK Ufa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for FK Ufa and 1.00 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Neftekhimik?

FK Ufa 1-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - Cup Regional League on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 33%, draw 32%, Neftekhimik 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neftekhimik), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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