FK Ufa 3-2 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+7.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
0.76/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.21
-33% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Neftekhimik
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
21.07.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
06.11.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa nicked a narrow win over Neftekhimik 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Neftekhimik at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Ufa and 0.67 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Neftekhimik?

FK Ufa 3-2 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 31%, draw 28%, Neftekhimik 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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