Torpedo Moscow 3-2 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 16%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +19%
1.29/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.58
-23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Chayka
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Chayka Chayka 2-1 HT 1-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
03.08.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-1 Chayka Chayka RUS1
06.03.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-2 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
09.09.2020 Chayka Chayka 1-2 HT 1-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
23.10.2019 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
3-2
AWAY Chayka
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow edged past Chayka 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torpedo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 39% of the ball to Chayka's 61%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 1.40 for Chayka.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Chayka?

Torpedo Moscow 3-2 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 54%, draw 27%, Chayka 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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