Braintree Town 2-2 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 30% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.06
1/2
9%
24.3
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
8%
7.1
X/2
13%
4.62
X/X
13%
5.09
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.78
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.06/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.62
-19% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
90 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 109 · 94%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braintree Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gateshead
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
30.03.2019 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
15.09.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
17.12.2016 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
10.09.2016 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-4 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
16.04.2016 Gateshead Gateshead 2-3 HT 1-2 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
15.03.2016 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braintree Town
2-2
AWAY Gateshead
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Passes 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Braintree Town vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town and Gateshead shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Braintree Town had 33% of the ball to Gateshead's 67%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Braintree Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Braintree Town and 1.17 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Braintree Town vs Gateshead?

Braintree Town 2-2 Gateshead in the England - National League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braintree Town vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Braintree Town 28%, draw 28%, Gateshead 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Under 2.5
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