Sutton United 2-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.99
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.3
X/1
14%
3.82
X/2
8%
11.15
X/X
14%
5.81
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
6%
8.63
2/X
5%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -20%
1.74/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.05
-8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
203 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AFC Fylde
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.11.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde FAK
10.12.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
01.12.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-2 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
25.08.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
07.04.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
07.10.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 2-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
2-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 8
2 Passes 0
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United saw off AFC Fylde 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sutton United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sutton United had 46% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 54%, shots finished 15-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sutton United and 1.00 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs AFC Fylde?

Sutton United 2-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 52%, draw 28%, AFC Fylde 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutton United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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