Whitby Town 3-0 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
1.14/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.25
-24% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Whitby Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lancaster City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
28.11.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 0-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
25.02.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-0 HT 1-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
08.01.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
14.08.2021 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-1 HT 0-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Whitby Town cruised past Lancaster City 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Whitby Town made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lancaster City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Whitby Town and 1.67 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs Lancaster City?

Whitby Town 3-0 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 38%, draw 24%, Lancaster City 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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