Legnago Salus 1-3 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.71
Over
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.8
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
22%
4.0
6+
10%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
45%
Away Win
40%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legnago Salus
1-3
AWAY Athletic Carpi
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Legnago Salus vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi beat Legnago Salus 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Carpi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Legnago Salus had 54% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 46%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Legnago Salus vs Athletic Carpi?

Legnago Salus 1-3 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legnago Salus vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Carpi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Legnago Salus 27%, draw 28%, Athletic Carpi 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Carpi), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Carpi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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