Rödinghausen 3-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.61/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.28
-18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rödinghausen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
05.03.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-2 HT 1-1 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
10.09.2022 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 4-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
16.03.2022 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 4-1 HT 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
25.08.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 3-1 HT 2-1 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
29.05.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-1 HT 1-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rödinghausen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rödinghausen squeezed past Fortuna Düsseldorf II 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rödinghausen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rödinghausen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rödinghausen and 1.17 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.

What was the final score of Rödinghausen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Rödinghausen 3-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rödinghausen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rödinghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rödinghausen 49%, draw 22%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rödinghausen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rödinghausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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