Bourgoin 3-0 Oly. Valence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourgoin EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Oly. Valence EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bourgoin
3-0
AWAY Oly. Valence
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bourgoin vs Oly. Valence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourgoin swept aside Oly. Valence 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bourgoin as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bourgoin had 57% of the ball to Oly. Valence's 43%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Bourgoin vs Oly. Valence?

Bourgoin 3-0 Oly. Valence in the France - Cup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourgoin vs Oly. Valence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourgoin win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bourgoin 52%, draw 25%, Oly. Valence 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourgoin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bourgoin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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